Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.656160 3.916281 4.193269 4.511447 4.868441 5.258506 5.719507
2025-05-18 3.204401 3.566402 3.975987 4.478888 5.087048 5.808558 6.744722
2025-05-25 2.879925 3.282053 3.754750 4.360976 5.132486 6.103206 7.454661
2025-06-01 2.656946 3.082374 3.597232 4.280418 5.186416 6.383719 8.156356
2025-06-08 2.518360 2.967569 3.525402 4.288798 5.340615 6.797555 9.091022
2025-06-15 2.425415 2.899044 3.501335 4.349808 5.562661 7.322888 10.275017
2025-06-22 2.269686 2.737631 3.341830 4.209228 5.479850 7.383516 10.722296
2025-06-29 2.149231 2.614273 3.223331 4.113469 5.448391 7.511673 11.297338
2025-07-06 2.047599 2.509648 3.122649 4.033351 5.429288 7.651574 11.912451
2025-07-13 1.979578 2.446117 3.073740 4.022963 5.513527 7.966839 12.917598
2025-07-20 1.940270 2.419066 3.073142 4.082309 5.711097 8.497718 14.478496
2025-07-27 1.901996 2.390993 3.068596 4.133871 5.898954 9.035501 16.203693
2025-08-03 1.840629 2.330811 3.018729 4.118656 5.985458 9.422654 17.773244
2025-08-10 1.779882 2.269340 2.964486 4.093967 6.055856 9.796815 19.473383
2025-08-17 1.703270 2.181623 2.866470 3.991412 5.976758 9.856311 20.357302
2025-08-24 1.640744 2.111617 2.791454 3.921100 5.948902 10.018093 21.605632
2025-08-31 1.602254 2.074873 2.764725 3.928420 6.064891 10.508799 24.097508
2025-09-07 1.577481 2.057015 2.765632 3.981681 6.273142 11.246473 27.865185
2025-09-14 1.513190 1.977991 2.667825 3.858876 6.124294 11.118091 28.377111
2025-09-21 1.461534 1.916231 2.594704 3.775058 6.046551 11.153224 29.591149
2025-09-28 1.415913 1.862056 2.531386 3.704825 5.990170 11.233627 31.067209
2025-10-05 1.386281 1.831042 2.503530 3.695712 6.058487 11.645907 34.351474
2025-10-12 1.371293 1.821669 2.509719 3.747754 6.260027 12.454241 40.403821